Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.006510 0.007275 0.008109 0.009086 0.010204 0.011446 0.012935
2025-03-23 0.005244 0.006274 0.007490 0.009041 0.010979 0.013342 0.016468
2025-03-30 0.004733 0.005931 0.007423 0.009439 0.012125 0.015626 0.020609
2025-04-06 0.004111 0.005331 0.006914 0.009151 0.012281 0.016581 0.023074
2025-04-13 0.003645 0.004864 0.006502 0.008904 0.012410 0.017455 0.025478
2025-04-20 0.003342 0.004577 0.006288 0.008886 0.012829 0.018753 0.028655
2025-04-27 0.003180 0.004463 0.006296 0.009175 0.013714 0.020833 0.033341
2025-05-04 0.002953 0.004233 0.006107 0.009136 0.014075 0.022115 0.036879
2025-05-11 0.002780 0.004063 0.005990 0.009189 0.014574 0.023666 0.041105
2025-05-18 0.002592 0.003855 0.005791 0.009085 0.014791 0.024748 0.044621
2025-05-25 0.002474 0.003744 0.005734 0.009206 0.015397 0.026577 0.049844
2025-06-01 0.002330 0.003582 0.005578 0.009140 0.015660 0.027801 0.054045
2025-06-08 0.002134 0.003326 0.005259 0.008778 0.015374 0.028010 0.056303
2025-06-15 0.002014 0.003186 0.005126 0.008735 0.015687 0.029442 0.061524
2025-06-22 0.001977 0.003183 0.005223 0.009117 0.016860 0.032771 0.071725
2025-06-29 0.001837 0.002994 0.004980 0.008841 0.016687 0.033249 0.075225
2025-07-06 0.001716 0.002830 0.004768 0.008604 0.016567 0.033820 0.079067
2025-07-13 0.001638 0.002734 0.004675 0.008586 0.016903 0.035454 0.086013
2025-07-20 0.001606 0.002720 0.004727 0.008864 0.017903 0.038768 0.098279
2025-07-27 0.001535 0.002629 0.004630 0.008827 0.018203 0.040453 0.106337
2025-08-03 0.001480 0.002565 0.004578 0.008877 0.018706 0.042715 0.116670
2025-08-10 0.001411 0.002470 0.004460 0.008778 0.018846 0.044069 0.124516
2025-08-17 0.001371 0.002428 0.004443 0.008893 0.019512 0.046906 0.137929